Tivan Limited - Case Study

Written: 4 August 2023

Tivan is a relatively new name to the ASX, having rebranded from TNG Limited in January 2023. This followed a board spill where ex-fund manager Grant Wilson took the top job from Paul Burton despite holding only a small 2.5% stake in TNG (which probably says a lot about shareholder faith in the old management, doesn't it?).

With the new team in place, the company embarked on a strategy reset, including the acquisition of a large vanadium-titanium project from King River Resources (ASX: KRR). Leadership transitions are prime events for analyzing the merits of a reborn company, so let's take a look at the threats Tivan currently faces.

Logo - Tivan Limited
Threat 1: On-market buying
A director buying stock on the market is a fantastic sign that they believe in the long-term prospects of the company and are willing to align their fortunes with those of shareholders. For Tivan, the new executive chairman, Grant Wilson, has been making significant purchases on the market since his appointment to the role and the ongoing strategy reset. This includes:
  • 12/5/2023: +1,000,000 shares for $83,800
  • 25/5/2023: +1,000,000 shares for $82,040
  • 5/6/2023: +500,000 shares for $43,714
  • 27/6/2023: +1,000,000 shares for $74,957
This is in addition to the $25k Grant committed in the recent placement (subject to customary shareholder approval). In aggregate, since he became executive chairman of Tivan, he has committed $309,511 in additional share purchases, or 123.8% of his annual $250k salary from the company.

This is a huge vote of support from management and also tells us a few additional things:
  • He sees value in Tivan shares at ~8c per share. Given his knowledge and control over the company's strategy, this is a positive signal that he believes the future value of the shares will be higher.
  • He is not leading Tivan solely for the salary and views the shares to be more valuable than cash wage. Of course, given his background in GIC and Civic Capital, the investment may not be material to his wealth, but this is nevertheless a positive signal.
  • Any additional buying by Grant should give the share price some support at current prices.
About on-market buying
Threat 2: Accountability
Communicating good and bad news is equally valuable for a listed company. After all, shareholders deserve to know the true state of the company and whether the rationale behind their investment still holds true.

Tivan has done a sound job in owning up to their current state and holding themselves accountable. Following the entrance of the new management team, the company seems to have conducted regular reviews of their corporate activities and scored themselves. Even better, this scoreboard was released to shareholders, showing the changes over time.
As we can see, the company has been honest about what is going well (government, media, etc.) and what requires more work (offtake, vanadium pathway, etc.). It's important to acknowledge that the company could just as easily have focused on the positives and hidden the negatives to create a false sense of success. Yet, in communicating transparently, investors are better informed and can more tangibly trust that there aren't any hidden risks at Tivan.
About transparency
Threat 3: Equal capital raise access
This is always an important thing to look out for as it says a lot about how management values shareholders. Many companies fail to effectively engage shareholders and then ignore them at key corporate events - capital raises - in favor of external investors. This creates additional dilution for shareholders, larger costs for the company, and often hurts the aftermarket if the incoming investors are only interested in short-term share price arbitrage.

Although Tivan has only conducted 1 capital raise under the new board, they've done a great job at rationalizing the program. The capital raise was structured as a $5m placement and a $2.5m SPP at a small 1.4% discount to the last close.
Why this is great:
  • The company generated the $5m of placement demand themselves without any expensive brokerage costs. This saves the company money and frees up additional funds (up to $300,000 in this case or 6% of the total raise) to invest in the business. Link to the appendix 3B here.
  • The tight discount to the prevailing share price means existing shareholders won't experience the usual double-hit of an aftermarket share price drop and shareholding dilution.
  • Fair opportunity for existing shareholders to participate in the capital raise via the SPP on the same terms as the external placement investors.
Although one example is not enough to create a pattern, it's same to say that Tivan has focused well on existing shareholders across communication, engagement and now capital raising. There is a reasonable expectation that shareholders will be well considered in any future capital raise events.
About equal capital raise access
My concluding thoughts

Tivan is no doubt a rare Triple Threat. It's got a motivated management team that seems to have the right connections and right approach towards shareholders. This goes a long way to show how they are likely to treat shareholders going forward, which cannot be under-indexed as mine development is a multi-year journey that requires full alignment throughout.

Yet we must pay attention to the new leadership team execution capabilities as great communication only works when it amplifies tangible progress on the project level. A good index for this is whether the team is able to progress the 3 areas of relative weakness on the corporate scorecard in the next 6-12 months.

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